Aperçu
Utilisez les onglets pour passer entre le tableau des probabilités (5 cartes), les chances de tirage, la distribution Hold'em et l'équité. Les résultats sont partageables par URL et exportables en CSV.
Commencez par le tableau des mains, puis comparez les outs, la distribution Hold'em et l'équité contre des adversaires aléatoires.
| Hand | Count | Probability | 1 in N |
|---|
Based on 5-card hands from a 52-card deck (no jokers).
Result meaning: these are unconditional odds across all possible 5-card hands.
Hit probability
Result meaning: this is the probability of hitting at least once within the remaining cards.
Cards
- Select 2 hole cards and up to 5 board cards.
- Choose exact or simulation mode (auto is recommended).
- Read the distribution and copy a shareable link.
All calculations run locally in your browser.
Distribution
Result meaning: this distribution ignores opponents and shows only your final hand categories.
Simulation settings
- Set opponent count and trials.
- Run the simulation (seed optional).
- Read win/tie/lose estimates.
Opponents are modeled as fully random hands.
Results
Result meaning: equity is an estimate against random opponents, not a range-vs-range analysis.
Examples
- Flush draw (9 outs) from the flop: hit by the river is about 34.97%.
- Open-ended straight draw (8 outs) from the flop: about 31.45% by the river.
- Pocket pair hitting a set on the flop: about 11.76%.
FAQ
Quelles sont les probabilités de chaque main au poker ?
The table lists exact 5-card hand counts and probabilities from a 52-card deck, plus the reciprocal frequency (1 in N).
Quel est le taux de réussite d’un tirage couleur à 9 outs ?
From the flop (known=5), the exact chance to hit by the river is 1 - C(38,2)/C(47,2) ≈ 34.97%.
Quelle différence entre distribution des mains et équité ?
Distributions ignore opponents and show only your final hand category. Equity simulates win/tie/lose odds against random opponents.
Pourquoi utiliser une graine de simulation ?
A seed keeps the random stream fixed so results are reproducible across runs and shared URLs.
Calculatrices associées
- nCr/nPr calculator Use combinations for card probabilities.
- Hypergeometric calculator Model outs and draw probabilities.
- Birthday paradox Another classic probability tool.
How it's calculated
- 5-card hand odds use exact counts from C(52,5) = 2,598,960.
- Outs hit rate uses the complement: 1 - C(U-outs, toCome) / C(U, toCome).
- Hold'em distributions enumerate remaining boards when fast, or simulate with a seeded PRNG.